However, it is still uncertain who, if anyone, helped plan Prigozhin’s rebellion, and whether others will try to launch another coup is speculative.
“Anyone who tells you they can fully understand the shifting sands beneath Moscow is deluding themselves. The reality is that nobody knows or understands what events will unfold in the coming weeks or months,” said Colonel Kemp.
He added that he thinks the way for Putin to prevent any leadership challenges is by ending the war in Ukraine successfully.
But herein lies another problem, according to Kemp: it will be “very difficult” for Putin to succeed, especially after the uprising.
He explained: “I think it’s made it very difficult for the Russians because there was already low morale, including on the front line, and this situation will have compounded that.
“You could see mass desertions, dissent, surrendering taking place. I think the Ukrainians need to try to capitalise on that by sending material over to the Russians. Dropping leaflets… telling people to surrender.”
